A clear forecast of goals and analysis of the overall situation
The forecast is for green packaged paper packaging. After the Paper Products are packaged and used, they can be recycled again and again. A small amount of waste can be naturally decomposed in the natural environment without adverse effects on the natural environment. Therefore, the world recognized that paper, paperboard and paper products are green products that meet the requirements of environmental protection and can play a positive role in replacing the white pollution caused by plastics. Green is the healthiest color of nature. Because of the development of the city and modern industry, it was read away from us. However, with the improvement of people's level of environmental awareness, the pursuit of a harmonious and high-quality life between man and nature has become a kind of fashion. From a green point of view, the paper has entered our lives with a new attitude.
Second, identify relevant factors and conduct factor analysis
(-) Consumers' level of environmental awareness
Some people do not have enough awareness of environmental protection and still use some environmentally friendly packaging materials. The longest we see is plastic bags used in supermarkets. These bags can cause white pollution. Therefore, in order to increase consumer awareness of environmental protection, the government needs to step up its efforts to promote and educate.
(b) Defects in the paper industry
Due to the protection of the environment, we came up with paper packaging. But where did the paper's raw material come from? It has to be taken from the environment, so a lot of vegetation must be destroyed. If considered comprehensively, this will make the paper industry develop slowly.
(III) Geographical environment
Due to the differences in economic development in different places, people's thoughts are different. People's habits, hobbies, and beliefs are all different, and this affects the development of paper packaging.
(four) paper packaging product prices
Since the price of paper packaging products is higher than that of ordinary plastic packaging products, most of the business owners are still using plastic packaging for profit.
Third, carry out investigation and study and collect relevant information
After conducting factor analysis, it is necessary to conduct investigation and research and collect relevant information. Relevant data show that in 2002, China’s paper consumption from 30 million tons in 2000 to 43.32 million tons in 2002 to 50 million tons in 2005, the paper packaging industry has become one of the few products in the national economy Potential industry.
Four use prediction methods to make prediction inference
Through investigation and research, it has been found that there are two methods to predict the factors that affect the promotion of paper packaging and the pressures of various parties:
(A certain amount of
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Production (10 thousand tons) 3000 3650 4332 4500 4875 5000
Using linear model prediction method:
Year actual value (y) Time (t) t*t
2000 3000 — 5 25
2001 3650 — 3 9
2002 4330 — 1 1
2003 4500 1 1
2004 4875 3 9
2005 5000 5 25
According to the formula: a=4225.83, b=297.79
The straight line model is y=a+bt=4225.83+297.79t. So the future development will grow in a straight line. Because the use of pulp is mainly used for wrapping paper except for cultural paper and health care paper, this can basically explain the packaging paper. consumption. The model can calculate the predicted value for each year.
(II) Qualitative
Based on experience and analysis of current situation and long-term prediction by experts, there will be no major breakthrough in China's paper packaging in the short term, but there will be great breakthroughs in five years and it will reach 70 million tons by 2010.
Five analysis forecast error, evaluation forecast results
Due to various reasons during the forecast, the results will have some errors. However, the error between the qualitative and quantitative results of the analysis is not significant. When we make predictions, we can only obtain correct predictions based on reasonable and scientific judgments and analysis. We can conclude that the outlook for paper packaging in China is very optimistic.
Source: China Packaging Network
Triple C International (ShenZhen) Co.,Ltd.was established in 2018. It`s a professional foreign trade company engaged in import and export trade, and carries out business operations such as international trade, cooperative production and intermediary trade. The company mainly provides high-quality OEM-product and ODM-product services for customs in Japan, Southeast Asia, Europe and Unite States, and has a professional technical team that provides hundreds of OEM-product services for dozens of customers, and has dozens of excellent suppliers. The company mainly provides Sewing Products, Plastic Products, paper products, Wooden Products, Household Products and other OEM services, including handbags, gift boxes, Storage Boxes, stationery boxes, kid toys, Paper Boxes, school supplies, office supplies and other products import and export business.
